The Institute for Statistics and Mathematics is pleased to invite you to the next research seminar, taking place on campus:

Helga Wagner (Institute of Applied Statistics, JKU Linz)
Flexible Bayesian Treatment Effects Models for Panel Outcomes
Friday, April 19, 2024, 10:30 am, Building D4, Room D4.0.127

Abstract:
Identification and estimation of treatment effects from observational data is particularly challenging as firstly, only the outcome for one of the treatments is observed and secondly, confounding due to unobserved endogeneity of treatment selection might be present. In Bayesian approaches to modelling treatment effects these issues are addressed by specifying a joint model for treatment selection and the potential outcomes in terms of observed covariates.
In this talk I will focus on treatment effects for longitudinally observed outcomes and present a flexible model that additionally takes into account longitudinal dependence in the potential outcomes sequences and time-varying covariate effects. To avoid overspecification prior distributions that allow shrinkage to time-constant or even zero covariate effects if appropriate are used. The model is used to analyse the effects of a long maternity leave on earnings of Austrian mothers exploiting a change in the parental leave policy in Austria that extended maternal benefits from 18 months since birth of the child to 30 months.

We aim to stream all on-campus talks via Zoom. A direct link to the stream will be posted on our website.

For further information and the seminar schedule, please see:
www.wu.ac.at/en/statmath/research/resseminar